Thursday, April 26, 2012

Final 2012 NFL Two-Round Mock Draft

Well, today is the day. The first round of the 2012 NFL Draft will kick off in less than eight hours, and there has been a much smoke-screening. Will the Vikings go with Matt Kalil as expected or pull a surprise? Is someone really going to trade up for Fletcher Cox or Mark Barron? How far will Mr. Questionable Motor a.k.a. Quinton Coples fall?

For reference, you can check out my Jan. 15 mock heremy March 13 mock here, my March 30 mock here. and my April 19th mock here.


1. Indianapolis Colts — QB Andrew Luck, Stanford
The Colts themselves have confirmed this is there pick, and it's been assumed for months. It's the right call.


2. Washington Redskins (from St. Louis) — QB Robert Griffin III
With Luck to the Colts, RG3 is free to go to Washington. This has to be the pick.

3. Minnesota Vikings — OT Matt Kalil, USC
I'm not buying the smoke-screening. I think the Vikings stick with Kalil and find someone to protect Christian Ponder's blind side.
4. Cleveland Browns — RB Trent Richardson, Alabama
Richardson is the best back in the draft, and though I don't value running backs this high myself, he seems like the Browns' pick.

5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers — CB Morris Claiborne, LSU
The Bucs have a big need at corner and Claiborne is the best one in this draft. It's a fit.

6. St. Louis Rams (from Washington) — WR Justin Blackmon, Oklahoma State
Fletcher Cox is a possibility, but I think in the end they'll pick up a weapon for Sam Bradford in Blackmon.

7. Philadelphia Eagles (projected trade from Jacksonville) — DT Fletcher Cox, Mississippi State
Brian Catanzaro projected this deal in our radio mock yesterday, and I've been sold on it. Cox would be a great fit for the Eagles and is definitely someone Andy Reid could move up for.

8. Miami Dolphins — QB Ryan Tannehill, Texas A&M
There are so many options to go here, but if Tannehill is on the board, I think he's the pick. 

9. Carolina Panthers — DT Michael Brockers, LSU
Carolina used a handful of inexperienced linemen with limited ability last season and it didn't work. Brockers has intriguing physical tools and would be a monster in the middle for the Panthers.

10. Buffalo Bills — OT Riley Reiff, Iowa
The Bills filled their pass rush need in free agency, so they fill their other need here with Reiff.

11. Kansas City Chiefs — DT Dontari Poe, Memphis
Poe is all over the board in mock drafts, but I think KC gets its anchor nose tackle here.

12. Seattle Seahawks — LB Luke Kuechly, Boston College
David Hawthorne left in free agency and Kuechly might be the safest pick in the whole draft. He's a Day 1 starter and great prospect.

13. Arizona Cardinals — OG David DeCastro, Stanford
The Cardinals' offensive line has needed help for years and DeCastro is a potential perennial Pro Bowler at guard.

14. Dallas Cowboys — S Mark Barron, Alabama
A lot of people don't think Barron falls this far, but I'm not buying the hype. I think he's here and I think Dallas lands him.

15. Jacksonville Jaguars (projected trade from Philadelphia) — CB Stephon Gilmore, South Carolina
In a projected win-win deal, the Eagles get Cox at No. 7 and the Jaguars get a top corner prospect they desperately need in Gilmore.


16. New York Jets — WR Michael Floyd, Notre Dame
Santonio Holmes is not long for this team and there is little depth. Floyd would give Mark Sanchez (or the next guy) a legit receiving option.

17. Cincinnati Bengals (from Oakland) — OT Cordy Glenn, Georgia
A potential starting guard or tackle for a team that lacks talent up front aside from Andrew Whitworth.

18. San Diego Chargers — LB Melvin Ingram, South Carolina
A versatile pass rusher, Ingram could give the Chargers the impact outside linebacker they've been lacking for years.

19. Chicago Bears — DE Whitney Mercilus, Illinois
The Bears could use another pass rusher to complement Julius Peppers, and the local Illinois product Mercilus would be an great addition.

20. Tennessee Titans — CB Dre Kirkpatrick, Alabama
A potential top-5 pick before a rough pre-draft season, Kirkpatrick would be  nice value here and could help replace the departed Cortland Finnegan.

21. Cincinnati Bengals — DE Courtney Upshaw, Alabama
Word is the Bengals love this guy, so they should have no problem securing his services here.

22. Cleveland Browns (from Atlanta) — WR Rueben Randle, LSU
I've often had Kendall Wright mocked here, but I worry he's more of a slot guy than a true No. 1. That's why I have them going with Randle, who has all the tools to succeed.

23. Detroit Lions — OT Bobby Massie, Mississippi
Perhaps a bit of a reach, but Massie is a rising prospect and would be Jeff Backus' long-term replacement at left tackle.

24. Pittsburgh Steelers — OG Kevin Zeitler, Wisconsin
Aside from center Maurkice Pouncey, the Steelers have had trouble finding talent and health on the offensive line. Zeitler could help solidify that.

25. Denver Broncos — DT Jerel Worthy, Michigan State
One of the biggest holes on the Broncos' roster remains its defensive line, and Worthy would go a long way into shoring up that unit.

26. Houston Texans — WR Kendall Wright, Baylor
A perfect complement for Andre Johnson, the in-state product Wright seems like a natural fit here.

27. New England Patriots (from New Orleans) — DE Quinton Coples, North Carolina
A tremendous fall for a top-10 talent, Coples could be a great pass rusher if Bill Belichick can get him on track.

28. Green Bay Packers — LB Chandler Jones, Syracuse
The Packers have struggled to find another edge rusher to bookend Clay Matthews III. Jones is a well-rounded prospect with his stock on the rise, so he could be a fit here if he doesn't go earlier.

29. Baltimore Ravens — LB Shea McClellin, Boise State
Aside from Terrell Suggs, the Ravens lack any impact rushers. McClellin has been shooting up draft boards and could be a replacement for the departed Jarret Johnson.

30. San Francisco 49ers — WR Stephen Hill, Georgia Tech
Word is it's down to the Hill and the top guard in the Niners' board. I think they'll go with Hill, who has a lot of upside despite playing in the triple option in college.

31. New England Patriots — S Harrison Smith, Notre Dame
The Patriots clearly need secondary help and there is a big drop-off at safety after Smith.

32. New York Giants — OG Amini Silatolu, Midwestern State
A small school product with some big hype, Silatolu would project as a nice starter down the road for the defending Super Bowl champs.

33. St. Louis Rams — RB Doug Martin, Boise State
The Rams take Steven Jackson's heir apparent here in Martin, who is a do-it-all workhorse that should be a successful starter down the line.

34. Indianapolis Colts — DT Alameda Ta'amu, Washington
The Colts get the nose tackle they desperately need for their new 3-4 scheme.

35. Minnesota Vikings — WR Alshon Jeffery, South Carolina
People question his motivation and conditioning, but Jeffery can flat-out play. He'd be a nice target for Ponder.

36. Tampa Bay Buccaneers — RB David Wilson, Virginia Tech
I don't expect LeGarrette Blount to be the starter long-term and there is no depth in Tampa. Wilson would project as the long-term workhorse.

37. Cleveland Browns — QB Brandon Weeden, Oklahoma State
They pass on Tannehill in he first round, but get their man here in the second in Weeden, who could beat out Colt McCoy as a rookie.

38. Jacksonville Jaguars — DE Nick Perry, USC
After going corner in the first, the Jags address their pass rush with a nice value pick in Perry.

39. St. Louis Rams (from Washington) — OT Jonathan Martin, Stanford
Rodger Saffold had a rough 2011 and Jason Smith can't stay healthy, so it's time to add another tackle.

40. Carolina Panthers — CB Janoris Jenkins, North Alabama
A first-round talent marred by off-the-field woes, Jenkins would be a nice value if you can get him under control.

41. Buffalo Bills — TE Coby Fleener, Stanford
Scott Chandler had his moments in 2011, but the Bills lack a true play-making tight end. Fleener is the best pure receiver at his position and would be a nice target for Ryan Fitzpatrick.

42. Miami Dolphins — DE Vinny Curry, Marshall
After going Tannehill in the first round, the Dolphins need to turn their attention to a pass rusher to complement Cameron Wake. Curry's production at Marshall is quite impressive and he'd be a nice choice here.

43. Seattle Seahawks — DE Andre Branch, Clemson
The Seahawks could use a little more pass rush opposite Chris Clemons, so Branch would slot in nicely.

44. Kansas City Chiefs — LB Dont'a Hightower, Alabama
The best 3-4 inside linebacker in the draft, Hightower should fit nicely inside next to Derrick Johnson.

45. Dallas Cowboys — DE Devon Still, Penn State
A potential first-round pick, Still would be a nice value here and would move to end in the Cowboys' 3-4 scheme.

46. Jacksonvile Jaguars (projected trade from Philadelphia) — WR Chris Givens, Wake Forest
Even with the signing of Laurent Robinson, receiver is still an issue and Givens is the best route-runner in the class.

47. New York Jets — OT Mike Adams, Ohio State
Adams may fall this far thanks to a positive marijuana test at the NFL Scouting Combine and some inconsistent tape from his college days. However, he has the tools to be an elite tackle and could help replace the busted Vladimir Ducasse down the line.

48. New England Patriots (from Oakland) — C Peter Konz, Wisconsin
Dan Koppen was re-signed to a minimal deal and his career may be winding down nearing age 33. Konz is the best center in the draft and would be an excellent long-term replacement.

49. San Diego Chargers —  OT Mitchell Schwartz, California
The Chargers' offensive line has been decimated in recent years so it's time to rebuild.

50. Chicago Bears — WR A. J. Jenkins, Illinois
The Bears take their second Fighting Illini player in as many picks. Jenkins is a fast-rising prospect and would be a nice target for Jay Cutler, especially when Brandon Marshall burns this bridge too.

51. Philadelphia Eagles (from Arizona) — CB Josh Robinson, Central Florida 
The Eagles add a quality corner prospect to develop behind Nnamdi Asomugha.

52. Tennessee Titans — DT Kendall Reyes, Connecticut
The Titans don't have much talent at defensive tackle and Reyes is a good value here.

53. Cincinnati Bengals — CB Trumaine Johnson, Montana
It's a year late, but the Bengals need a long-term replacement for Johnathan Joseph (Texans) opposite Leon Hall. Johnson has a lot of upside and would be a nice choice for them.

54. Detroit Lions — CB Brandon Boykin, Georgia
The Lions get a quality corner prospect they desperately need and a dynamic athlete that could help out in other areas.


55. Atlanta Falcons — DT Brandon Thompson, Clemson
There is little talent at the defensive tackle position for the Falcons, so Thompson would help shore up the unit.


56. Pittsburgh Steelers — DE Jared Crick, Nebraska
A prototypical 3-4 end for the Steelers in need of some youth at the position.

57. Denver Broncos — QB Brock Osweiler, Arizona State
The Broncos are now instant contenders with the addition of Peyton Manning, but they have no depth and a high-upside project like Osweiler might be a nice addition to sit for a while and learn under one of the game's best ever.

58. New Orleans Saints — Pick Forfeited

59. Houston Texans — OT Jeff Allen, Illinois
With Eric Winston departing as a cap casualty, the Texans could use new blood at offensive tackle.

60. Green Bay Packers — DE Billy Winn, Boise State
The Packers have missed on a few defensive ends in the draft, so it's time to go back to the drawing board again. Winn is a perfect schematic fit.

61. Baltimore Ravens — RB Lamar Miller, Miami (Fla.)
A Darren McFadden type, Miller would be a nice complement and backup to Ray Rice.

62. San Francisco 49ers — OG Kelechi Osemele, Iowa State
After grabbing a receiver in the first round, the Niners take a much-needed interior lineman in Osemele.

63. New England Patriots — LB Bruce Irvin, West Virginia
A great athlete and versatile linebacker that Belichick would love.

64. New York Giants — TE Dwayne Allen, Clemson
After losing two tight ends to torn ACLs late in the season, the Giants might need to add a body here despite the addition of Martellus Bennett. Allen might be the most well-rounded tight end in the draft and should appeal to the Giant's offense.


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